Working notes on the odds behind card and table games
Entries published in July 2026.
The difference between the two common roulette wheels is a single extra pocket, and the whole edge lives in it. The payouts are identical; only the denominator changes.
Filed under: Table games, Odds and probability — permalink
Basic strategy is a lookup table produced by exhausting every dealer outcome, not a feel for the shoe. It answers one narrow question, and it answers it completely.
Filed under: Card games, Table games — permalink
An independent trial has no memory, which is why a run of one colour changes nothing about the next spin. The intuition that says otherwise is worth naming precisely.
Filed under: Odds and probability — permalink